I basically agree with the analysis, but way too repetitive and long. Also, I don't discount the possibility that Trump might actually want to take Greenland by force. He is clearly certifiable at this point. I'm wondering how our military would respond to such orders. It would clearly be an illegal order, but I'm not confident they would refuse to do it.
The permission framework is the key insght here that most analysis misses. What stands out is how coercion without defined end states creates permanent provisionality, which fundamentally breaks institutional predictibility. I've been watching friends delay mobility decisions waiting for clarity, not realizing the window narrows bureaucratically before anyone announces it. The distinction between administrative hardening and collapse is subtle but critical for anyone planning optionalty.
Excellent, if a very long read. All your insights and analyses seem correct. All the tiny trickles have merged and grown into a roiling flood, and replacing Trump will not end it. Sad.
I basically agree with the analysis, but way too repetitive and long. Also, I don't discount the possibility that Trump might actually want to take Greenland by force. He is clearly certifiable at this point. I'm wondering how our military would respond to such orders. It would clearly be an illegal order, but I'm not confident they would refuse to do it.
The permission framework is the key insght here that most analysis misses. What stands out is how coercion without defined end states creates permanent provisionality, which fundamentally breaks institutional predictibility. I've been watching friends delay mobility decisions waiting for clarity, not realizing the window narrows bureaucratically before anyone announces it. The distinction between administrative hardening and collapse is subtle but critical for anyone planning optionalty.
Excellent, if a very long read. All your insights and analyses seem correct. All the tiny trickles have merged and grown into a roiling flood, and replacing Trump will not end it. Sad.
Is Trump calling the shots? Doubtful.